Notes
Short observations linking the parliamentary record, the news, and the reform ideas on this site. Not a weekly digest — see Briefings for that.
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The Eastern Cape has started ordering Grade 1–3 materials from the new R1.6 billion Foundation Phase catalogue; the Western Cape is holding back. Forty readers a class, if they arrive by January.
- Same rules, 8% and 44%
In 2025 more than a third of South African households went two days or more without water. Among the metros, Cape Town was at 8% and eThekwini at 44%. The gap comes from maintenance, not rainfall.
- Thirty percent off the top is not ringfencing
From 1 October City Power is ‘ringfenced’: Johannesburg keeps 30% of electricity cash first; the utility gets 70% and still carries Eskom, losses, and a R44bn backlog.
- A data-centre approval — and no water figure
Cape Town’s municipal planning tribunal approved the King Air Industria data-centre land-use changes 4–1 without water or diesel figures on the record. The approval is suspended on appeal; the city is drafting new guidelines.
- Hundreds of billions of procurement, back at the starting line
State procurement is on the order of R800bn–R1.3trn a year. On 17 September the Constitutional Court invalidated the Public Procurement Act in full for failed public participation — so the reform that was meant to replace a fragmented regime is back at the starting line.
- Three years in Joburg, whoever wins
Treasury will run a three-year intervention in Johannesburg through the November elections — conditionality, not a blank cheque. The metro is ~16% of GDP and still living off a fiscal fiction.
- Ten million entitled, two million get it
About 10 million poor households may qualify for free basic electricity; only about 2 million receive it. The first new electricity pricing policy in 18 years still leaves the grant outside the tariff framework.
- Seventy-six billion more on imports, and a rand for Sapref
The oil import bill could have been R76bn lower in 2021–2024 if refined-product imports had stayed at 25%. 5,400 jobs displaced. CEF bought Sapref for R1; the three-phase revival still has no funding model.
- Seventy times the imports, and ethanol still on paper
Jan–Jun sugar imports rose from 1,619 t in 2022 to 124,594 t in 2026. DBRP moved only to $785. The 2007 biofuels strategy still has no commercial fuel ethanol.
- Seven women a day, and a Friday deadline
Chapter 9 bodies want submissions on the justice system’s GBVF response by Friday. ISS puts intimate-partner femicide at five times the global rate — and conviction odds under one in five.
- A thousand deaths a year is not a transition plan
CREA puts Secunda’s air pollution at ~1,000 premature deaths and ~R16bn in health costs a year. UCT puts an unmanaged shutdown at R9.9bn of GDP. The reform problem is the gap between those two numbers.
- The lights stayed on. The customers left.
Eskom has 2–3 GW of surplus generation while industrial demand is down 22.5% — turning that capacity into paid-for demand is the next reform test.
- The money is there. The projects are not.
Unspent capital budgets point to project readiness, not a lack of money — and IDMS is still not compulsory.
Data as of 2026-10-10 · latest PMG meeting 2026-10-02